Smarkets Challenge: Predicting the Premiership Results
August 20, 2010
It’s already the second week of the 2010/2011 Premiership and after an array of wild predictions at Smarkets Towers last weekend, the team have tried their hand at tipping this week for undisputed bragging rights.
Each of the team were given 10 units, and assigned them to any Premiership game they wanted. The return is then calculated based on the current odds (we’re showing it in decimal here)
| Match | Jason | Hunter | Alex | Brad | Russ | Jamie | Chris | Daniel | Scott |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal v Blackpool | 3H | 2H | 1H | 1A | 1D | ||||
| Brum v Blackburn | 2H | 1H | 1D | ||||||
| Everton v Wolves | 2H | 1H | 4H | 1D | |||||
| Stoke v Spurs | 1H | 2A | 1A | 3A | 1D | 5A | |||
| West Brom v Sunderland | 2H | 1H | 1H | 1D | |||||
| West Ham v Bolton | 10A | 1H | 1A | 1D | |||||
| Wigan v Chelsea | 1A | 3A | 1A | 1H | 1D | ||||
| Newcastle v Villa | 1A | 1A | 4A | 1D | 5A | ||||
| Fulham v Man Utd | 10A | 1A | 4A | 1D | |||||
| Man City v Liverpool | 1H | 2A | 1D | ||||||
| Potential Return | 6.61 | 11.39 | 25.6 | 6.04 | 9.86 | 44.1 | 17.16 | 33.78 | 13.7 |
Jason and Scott have gone for a straightforward approach, with Jason risking his entire bankroll on the Man Utd game, which is fairly safe but will only earn him 6.61 units profit. Scott decided to hedge his risk between Spurs and Aston Villa, for a greater return than Jason of 13.7 units.
Alex went for the emotional hedge against the Hammers, with bragging rights a consolation prize if West Ham lose.
Myself, Brad and Hunter have gone for a few teams to try and spread the risk. Brad has gone for the safer picks hence the lowest potential return of any of the team. Hunter has some controversial picks, with Newcastle and Stoke going against the majority of the team.
I went for where I feel there is value, even at a greater risk. Both Spurs and Aston Villa had superb opening games, and even though Tottenham had a bit of hiccup midweek in the Champions League I feel both teams have a good chance. West Ham were thrashed last week, so I’m hoping Bolton can nick a win while moral is down. Finally I went for Liverpool, as I wasn’t that impressed with City last week and I feel on our day Liverpool can have ‘em!
Russ decided to spread his units across all the favourites, which will earn him a idy 9.86 units if they all come in.
Jamie went for an interesting strategy of 2 of his units on long-shots to look for that big win, but covered him self with 8 of his units on sure bets.
We’ll see who arrives at work victorious on Monday…
