Huw had a mare, but Mark Lawrenson had a good week, correctly predicting six out of the nine results. The pundits are now pretty even across the board at 66% accuracy rate.

Match Actual Result Lawro Andy Gray Huw Davis
Birmingham v Arsenal 1-1 Correct (correct score) Incorrect Incorrect
Chelsea v Aston Villa 7-1 Correct (incorrect score) Correct (incorrect score) Correct
Hull v Fulham 2-0 Incorrect Correct (incorrect score) Incorrect
Spurs v Portsmouth 2-0 Correct (correct score) Correct (incorrect score) Correct
West Ham v Stoke 0-1 Incorrect Incorrect Correct
Wolves v Everton 0-0 Incorrect Incorrect Incorrect
Bolton v Man Utd 0-4 Correct (incorrect score) Correct (incorrect score) Correct
Burnley v Blackburn 0-1 Correct (incorrect score) - Correct
Liverpool v Sunderland 3-0 Correct (incorrect score) - Incorrect
This Week 6 of 9 (66%) 4 of 7 (57%) 5 of 9 (55%)
Rolling 17 of 26 (65%) 12 of 18 (66%) 17 of 26 (65%)

Last week was a bad one for all the pundits but for Mark Lawrenson in particular who now has a success rate of just 64%…

Match Lawro Andy Gray Huw Davis
Birmingham v Arsenal 1-1 0-1 Arsenal Bet Now
Chelsea v Aston Villa 2-0 2-1 Chelsea Bet Now
Hull v Fulham 1-1 2-1 Fulham Bet Now
Spurs v Portsmouth 2-0 3-0 Spurs Bet Now
West Ham v Stoke 2-1 1-1 Stoke Bet Now
Wolves v Everton 1-1 1-2 Everton Bet Now
Bolton v Man Utd 1-2 0-2 Man Utd Bet Now
Burnley v Blackburn 1-2 - Blackburn Bet Now
Liverpool v Sunderland 2-0 - Draw Bet Now

Tough week for Mark Lawrenson, only correctly predicting five out of ten games. I’m taking the predictions on a Friday so Andy’s Sunday picks aren’t being included at the moment, but he now leads the ranking with an accuracy of 72%.

Match Actual Result Lawro Andy Gray Huw Davis
Aston Villa v Wolves 2-2 Incorrect Incorrect Incorrect
Everton v Bolton 2-0 Correct (correct score) Correct (wrong score) Correct
Portsmouth v Hull 3-2 Incorrect Incorrect Correct
Stoke v Spurs 1-2 Incorrect Incorrect Incorrect
Sunderland v Birmingham 3-1 Correct (wrong score) Correct (wrong score) Incorrect
Wigan v Burnley 1-0 Correct (wrong score) Correct (wrong score) Correct
Arsenal v West Ham 2-0 Correct (correct score) Correct (correct score) Correct
Man Utd v Liverpool 2-1 Incorrect - Correct
Fulham v Man City 1-2 Correct (wrong score) - Correct
Blackburn Chelsea 1-1 Incorrect - Incorrect
This Week 5 of 10 4 of 7 6 of 10
Rolling 11 of 17 (64%) 8 of 11 (72%) 12 of 17 (70%)

Smarkets at Plugg 2010

March 22, 2010




Plugg 2010

Hunter and I had a great time at Plugg meeting lots of other entrepreneurs from the Continent. It was our first time to Brussels. Definitely recommend trying some Belgian chocolate and chips! I attached a video showing Hunter’s two minute pitch below. He’s the first one of four in the clip. Can’t miss the moustache!

Same pundits as last time. Last week was pretty easy, but they all did well. Will Lawro, Andy and Huw get them right this week?

Match Lawro Andy Gray Huw Davis
Aston Villa v Wolves 2-1 2-0 Villa Bet Now
Everton v Bolton 2-0 1-0 Everton Bet Now
Portsmouth v Hull 1-1 1-1 Portsmouth Bet Now
Stoke v Spurs 2-1 1-1 Draw Bet Now
Sunderland v Birmingham 2-0 1-0 Draw Bet Now
Wigan v Burnley 2-1 2-0 Wigan Bet Now
Arsenal v West Ham 2-0 2-0 Arsenal Bet Now
Man Utd v Liverpool 1-1 - Man United Bet Now
Fulham v Man City 0-2 - Man City Bet Now
Blackburn Chelsea 1-2 - Chelsea Bet Now

There have been some exciting developments in the online betting industry. It’s great to see more innovation coming to betting tapping into the tremendous market opportunity. Even though it’s worth an estimated $20 billion (and growing), most of the big online bookmakers offer the same boring products with no web 2.0 features that internet users have come to expect. The top three online betting companies are Betfair, Ladbrokes and William Hill.

Betable went live today with their pool betting product. Congratulations to the Betable team for launching! Betable has been under development in San Francisco for a year or so. Recently some of the team moved to London. It’s great to see other startups launching in the space. For those unfamiliar with pools, bettors put their money in a pot and the winners split the pot after commission (usually 10-20%). Pools have the advantage that participants don’t have consider the odds – the odds are computed after the betting has ended.

Pikum made waves when it launched a similar pool betting product two years ago. Pikum offered betting on football markets, but didn’t let participants create markets as you can on Betable. It ran out of money before it was able to gain any traction in the marketplace and folded a little less than a year after launching.

Bragster (formerly launched as Gottabet in 2008) aimed at mate to mate bets that users could create themselves. “I bet you £20 you can’t eat all the donuts”. They weren’t able to gain significant traction in bespoke bets, so they rebranded as Bragster to a social network centred around bragging rights. Not just a clever name! They were acquired last month by the Guinness Book of World Records.

Boolabus has taken an agency model and offer the big bookmakers (e.g. Ladbrokes) cool software that they can plug into their websites . Their focus has been largely what’s known as “in-play” betting – betting after the match has started. Even though the odds update in semi-real time, bookmakers still add quite a large profit market to their odds so the punter doesn’t get good value. The punter doesn’t have the option to lay a bet either.

Betfair pioneered the concept of betting marketplaces a decade ago. They have been building up their US presence after making the purchase of TVG, a horse racing TV network. Betfair is a fantastic product for the professional bettor, offering the best liquidity in the marketplace, but it has a high learning curve for the casual punter. Like the other major bookmakers, Betfair has almost no social features to speak of (although Betfair has a forum).

Smarkets is innovating betting marketplaces by bringing the power of exchanges to a wider audience. We’re creating a simpler user experience with a social layer. On Smarkets, the price of a bet changes in real-time. This type of market dynamic is perfect for live events. For example, betting on the cycling race where a crash could wipe out half the field or an election where a news story could decimate a candidates chances, Smarkets works very well. Also, Smarkets allows to participants to buy or sell an event at anytime up until the event has concluded.

We have a host of social betting features that we’ll be launching shortly. Our next major release includes the UK election markets. We’ve been hard at work at Smarkets for almost 3 years building a scalable and reliable technical architecture.

It’s great to see innovation coming to betting. Pikum and Gottabet failed, but the new crop of betting startups Smarkets, Boolabus and Betable are forging ahead in this massive industry begging for new blood.

Match Actual Result Lawro Andy Gray Huw Davis
Tottenham v Blackburn 3-1 Correct (wrong score) Correct (wrong score) Correct
Birmingham v Everton 2-2 Correct (wrong score) Correct (wrong score) Correct
Burnley v Wolves 1-2 Wrong - Correct
Chelsea v West Ham 4-1 Correct (wrong score) Correct (wrong score) Correct
Hull v Arsenal 1-2 Correct (wrong score) Correct (wrong score) Correct
Man Utd v Fulham 3-0 Correct (wrong score) - Correct
Sunderland v Man City 1-1 Correct (correct score) - Wrong
6 of 7 4 of 4 6 of 7

Pretty impressive predictions all round. Andy Gray only predicted four matches, but he got all the results correct. Lawro got one wrong, but he did predict the correct score for the Sunderland v Man City game. Huw also got one wrong, but he doesn’t make correct score predictions.

Next week I think I’ll pay a little more attention to the pundits, maybe they do know what they’re talking about!

There are a tonne of games this weekend across all the leagues, so if you are having trouble seeing the wood for the trees, this is how the pundits (BBC’s Mark Lawrenson, Betfair’s Andy Gray and FourFourTwo.com’s Huw Davies) think the Premiership matches will end up.

Match Lawro Andy Gray Huw Davis
Tottenham v Blackburn 2-0 3-0 Spurs Bet Now
Birmingham v Everton 1-1 1-1 Draw Bet Now
Burnley v Wolves 2-1 - Wolves Bet Now
Chelsea v West Ham 2-0 2-0 Chelsea Bet Now
Hull v Arsenal 0-2 1-3 Arsenal Bet Now
Man Utd v Fulham 2-0 - Man Utd Bet Now
Sunderland v Man City 1-1 - Man City Bet Now

Lawro’s predictions have been pretty solid in the past so it’ll be interesting to see how it pans out. Nobody backing my beloved West Ham to beat Chelsea then… strange.

We’re excited to announce we’ll be in Brussels presenting at the Plugg Start-Ups Rally. Plugg is a pan-European conference for startups organised by TechCrunch’s Robin Wauters.

Out of the 116 companies submitted, we made the Top 20 selection. The top three startups will appear in the finals to vie for the Plugg Start-Up of the Year Award. Check out the list of other start-ups.

We will be pitching to the esteemed jury and audience on Thursday March 11th. Check out the schedule and if you are going to attend, make sure you come and say hello.

Refer a friend to Smarkets using your code and whenever they win a bet, you receive 50% of the commission.

You’ll see a new ‘refer-a-friend‘ link on your profile page with your referral code. You can send email directly from that page or copy and paste the link into Twitter, Facebook, Myspace or wherever your friends are! There is no limit to the number of referrals you can make and the bonus money will be awarded for 6 months from the day your friend signs up.

The bonus works like this: if your friend wins £100 on a bet, then the Smarkets commission would usually be £5, but as you referred them, we’ll split the commission and pay £2.50 into your account to bet with. The more they win, the more you win! You don’t need to do anything, the money will be paid into your account on a weekly basis.

Check out the full Terms and Conditions and if you have any questions, get in touch.

Start referring your friends to Smarkets. More friends, more money!

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